Permutations: Who needs what to reach the UEFA Nations League finals?
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The UEFA Nations League, which began in June with four rounds of matches, concluded in September with two matchdays. We look at the standings, investigate the relegation and promotion concerns, and consider who needs what to advance to the championship games the next summer.
2022/23 UEFA Nations League so far
Qualified for finals: none
Promoted: Greece (Group C2)
Relegated: none
League A
Group A1
22 September: Croatia (7pts) vs Denmark (9), France (2) vs Austria (4)
25 September: Denmark vs France, Austria vs Croatia
Denmark will qualify for the finals if they win. Denmark cannot be relegated.
Croatia will be out of finals contention if they lose. They will be safe from relegation if they avoid defeat or if France do not win.
Austria will remain in finals contention if they win and Denmark lose. Austria will be safe from relegation if they win.
France will be relegated if they lose. France cannot reach the finals.
Group A2
24 September: Spain (8) vs Switzerland (3), Czech Republic (4) vs Portugal (7)
27 September: Portugal vs Spain, Switzerland vs Czech Republic
Spain will qualify for the finals if they win and Portugal lose. Spain cannot be relegated.
Portugal will be out of finals contention if they lose and Spain win. They will be safe from relegation if they avoid defeat or if Switzerland lose.
Czech Republic will remain in finals contention if they win and Spain do not. They will be safe from relegation if they win and Switzerland lose.
Switzerland will be relegated to League B if they lose to Spain and the Czech Republic beat Portugal. Switzerland will remain in finals contention if they win and Portugal do not beat the Czech Republic.
Group A3
23 September: Italy (5) vs England (2), Germany (6) vs Hungary (7)
26 September: England vs Germany, Hungary vs Italy
Hungary will qualify for the finals if they beat Germany and Italy do not beat England. Hungary will be safe from relegation if they avoid defeat, or if England fail to win.
Germany will remain in finals contention if they avoid defeat by Hungary. Germany will be safe from relegation if they win, if both games are drawn, or if England lose.
Italy will remain in finals contention if they beat England, or if the other game is drawn. Italy will be safe from relegation if they win.
England will be relegated if they lose to Italy. England cannot reach the finals.
Group A4
22 September: Poland (4) vs Netherlands (10), Belgium (7) vs Wales (1)M
25 September: Netherlands vs Belgium, Wales vs Poland
Netherlands will qualify for the finals if they beat Poland and Belgium do not win, or if the Netherlands draw and Belgium lose. The Netherlands cannot be relegated.
Belgium will remain in finals contention if they beat Wales, if they draw and the Netherlands do not win, or regardless if the Netherlands lose. Belgium cannot be relegated.
Poland will be safe from relegation if they win, or if Poland draw and Wales lose. Poland cannot reach the finals; at best they will be in three-way tie for first which Belgium would win.
Wales will be relegated if they lose to Belgium and Poland avoid defeat, or if Wales draw and Poland win. Wales cannot reach the finals.
2022/23 UEFA Nations League key dates
Matchdays 5 & 6: 22–27 September 2022
Semi-finals: 14 & 15 June 2023
Final & third-place match: 18 June 2023
Play-outs: 21–23 & 24–26 March 2024
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